10CL
10 Cedar Lane
Private Credit · Distressed Debt

Founder Package Data

Realized track record across the founder's Bank of Orrick non-performing loan packages — charged-off consumer receivables acquired at deep discount and resolved through licensed servicing. Figures are actuals to date, not projections.

10 packages $52.2M face value (UPB) acquired Period: Nov 2023 – Apr 2026 Owner of record: Billy Prepared: May 27, 2026

Investment Highlights

Net Income to Owner
$616,357
Owner share of package net income, realized
Portfolio IRR
65%
Annualized, on owner cash flows to date
Capital Multiple (MOIC)
1.80×
Net income returned per $1 invested
Net Return on Capital
80%
Net profit ÷ capital, ~30 mo holding
Net Profit
$274,670
After full return of invested capital
Capital Invested
$341,687
Founder cash deployed across 10 packages
Face Value Acquired
$52.2M
Unpaid principal balance (UPB), bought at deep discount
Gross Receipts
$6.1M
Collections + sales proceeds, all packages

Remaining Portfolio Value — Illustrative

Beyond realized results, about $46.2M of face value (UPB) remains uncollected across the active packages. Marked conservatively at $0.015 per $1 of remaining UPB, that residual is worth roughly $693,219 at the package level — about $336,425 to the owner. Including this illustrative residual, total value to the owner would be ~$952,782 on $341,687 of capital. This 1.5¢ mark is an assumption for discussion, not a third-party valuation.

UPB Sales (Proceeds)
$226,402
Cash realized from selling accounts to date
Remaining UPB (Face)
$46.2M
Face value not yet collected
Remaining UPB Value @ $0.015
$693,219
Illustrative residual, 100% level
Owner Share of Residual
$336,425
Applying ownership %; ~98% of capital invested

Cumulative Net Income to Owner

Realized owner net income builds steadily as packages season and servicing recoveries compound. Early months reflect upfront broker/boarding fees and debt-service ramp; the curve inflects as the older packages reach peak liquidation.

Owner net income — running total
Ending: $616,357
$0k$111k$222k$333k$444k$555k$666k Nov-23Feb-24May-24Aug-24Nov-24Feb-25May-25Aug-25Nov-25Feb-26Apr-26

Monthly Net Income to Owner

Owner net income by month
Peak month: $83,954
$0k$23k$45k$68k$91k Nov-23: $0Dec-23: $-2,397Jan-24: $-618Feb-24: $2,072Mar-24: $5,196Apr-24: $1,219May-24: $3,126Jun-24: $3,422Jul-24: $5,355Aug-24: $7,548Sep-24: $3,061Oct-24: $5,544Nov-24: $25,661Dec-24: $27,188Jan-25: $21,404Feb-25: $17,461Mar-25: $18,120Apr-25: $25,776May-25: $51,466Jun-25: $19,364Jul-25: $28,425Aug-25: $21,761Sep-25: $25,555Oct-25: $30,346Nov-25: $28,470Dec-25: $40,367Jan-26: $29,202Feb-26: $83,954Mar-26: $47,679Apr-26: $40,631 Nov-23Feb-24May-24Aug-24Nov-24Feb-25May-25Aug-25Nov-25Feb-26Apr-26

Package-Level Detail

All figures at 100% package level except the Owner columns and IRR, which reflect the founder's ownership share. STR / Agency Fee is the licensed collection-agency fee on gross collections; Seaport Payment is full debt service (principal, interest, and 1% admin) on the acquisition financing. Rem. UPB is uncollected face value; Rem. Val marks it at $0.015/$1 (illustrative). IRR is annualized on owner cash flows to date.

PackagePurchasedOwn %UPBPurch. Price Gross Coll.UPB SalesGross ReceiptsSTR FeeSeaport Net IncomeLiq %Rem. UPBRem. Val @1.5¢ Owner Inv.Owner NIOwner P&LIRRActive
BankofOrrickPID22237 / NCS 11/17/23 33.3% $6,456,340 $90,239 $820,174 $96,512 $913,518 $321,666 39.2% $283,140 $308,983 14.1% $5,636,166 $84,542 $30,050 $102,891 $72,842 158% 30 mo
BankofOrrickPID22307 / NCS 11/17/23 33.3% $4,577,155 $63,974 $644,362 $21,614 $664,924 $254,709 39.5% $214,867 $196,008 14.5% $3,932,793 $58,992 $21,303 $65,271 $43,967 120% 30 mo
BankofOrrickPID22358 / NCS 12/15/23 33.3% $4,959,238 $69,314 $667,212 $0 $628,440 $266,062 39.9% $126,117 $237,444 12.7% $4,292,026 $64,380 $23,082 $79,069 $55,987 147% 29 mo
BankofOrrickPID22420 / NCS 01/17/24 33.3% $4,812,519 $67,264 $580,905 $39,001 $618,330 $228,238 39.3% $219,714 $170,272 12.8% $4,231,614 $63,474 $22,399 $56,701 $34,302 73% 28 mo
BankofOrrickPID22493 / NCS 02/28/24 33.3% $4,459,733 $62,333 $561,449 $33,958 $595,407 $216,093 38.5% $200,066 $179,012 13.4% $3,898,284 $58,474 $20,757 $59,611 $38,854 107% 27 mo
BankofOrrickPID22576 / NCS 04/07/24 33.3% $4,518,468 $63,154 $582,694 $35,317 $618,011 $229,042 39.3% $203,899 $184,515 13.7% $3,935,774 $59,037 $21,030 $61,443 $40,413 118% 26 mo
BankofOrrickPID22647 / NCS 05/03/24 33.3% $4,929,741 $68,902 $454,808 $0 $454,808 $173,156 38.1% $229,240 $52,596 9.2% $4,474,933 $67,124 $22,944 $17,514 $-5,430 -16% 24 mo
BankofOrrickPID22787 / NCS / BRD 06/04/24 33.3% $5,808,127 $81,179 $548,209 $0 $548,209 $197,645 36.1% $269,048 $81,749 9.4% $5,259,918 $78,899 $27,033 $27,222 $190 1% 23 mo
BankofOrrickPID22895 / NCS / MRT 10/31/24 100.0% $6,037,969 $74,894 $593,032 $0 $593,032 $223,255 37.6% $278,533 $92,254 9.8% $5,444,937 $81,674 $74,894 $92,254 $17,360 22% 22 mo
BankofOrrickPID23146 / NCS 10/03/24 100.0% $5,594,628 $78,195 $486,494 $0 $486,494 $173,621 35.7% $259,723 $54,380 8.7% $5,108,134 $76,622 $78,195 $54,380 $-23,815 -23% 19 mo
PORTFOLIO TOTAL $52,153,918$719,448$5,939,339 $226,402$6,121,173$2,283,487 38.4% $2,284,347$1,557,21311.7% $46,214,579$693,219 $341,687$616,357$274,670 65%

Forecast — Projected Lifetime Value to Owner (Illustrative)

Projection of cumulative net income to the owner through the end of portfolio life. Each package's recent collections are decayed forward at their observed rate until they taper to near zero, converted to owner net income at recent margins, and topped with the $0.015/$1 residual on remaining uncollected UPB. The shaded band spans a conservative (low) to optimistic (high) case; the dashed line is the base case. This is an illustrative model, not a forecast of actual results or a guarantee.

Cumulative net income to owner — actual & projected
Base terminal: $1,485,441
Actual to date Projected (base) Range (low–high)
$0.0M$0.3M$0.7M$1.0M$1.4M$1.7M$2.1M Today · Apr ’26 High $1.9MBase $1.5MLow $1.1M Nov-23May-24Nov-24May-25Nov-25May-26Nov-26May-27Nov-27May-28Nov-28May-29Nov-29Apr-30

Base case implies a lifetime owner multiple of about 4.3× on $341,687 of capital ($1,069,002–$1,944,279 across the low–high band). Assumptions: terminal liquidation ~13–19% of UPB, observed per-package collection decay (capped at 5–16%/month), residual marked at $0.010–$0.020 per $1 of remaining UPB. Actual outcomes will differ; packages remain active and recoveries are not guaranteed.

Forecast Highlights — as of May 2028 · base case; range = low–high
Net Income to Owner
$1,167,448
Projected cumulative; range $929,027–$1,332,595
Capital Multiple (MOIC)
3.4×
Range 2.7–3.9×
Net Profit
$825,762
After return of $341,687 capital
Net Return on Capital
242%
Range 172%–290%

Snapshot of the base-case projection at May 2028 (about 25 months past the latest actuals). Net income to owner includes the illustrative residual realized by that date. Projected IRR is omitted here: on a cash-on-cash basis it computes very high (~100%+) because capital is fully recovered early and timing-sensitive — available on request but excluded to avoid overstating. Illustrative only; not a guarantee.

How to Read This — Key Terms

UPB (Unpaid Principal Balance)
Face value of the debt acquired. Packages were bought at a deep discount to face; the stated purchase price was $719,448, with the acquisition additionally financed and repaid through Seaport debt service.
STR / Agency Fee
Contingency fee paid to the licensed collection agency on gross collections (blended 38.4%).
Seaport Payment
Monthly debt service on the financing used to acquire the packages — principal, interest, and a 1% admin fee.
Liquidation Rate
Gross collections as a percent of UPB — how much of the face value has been recovered (11.7% blended).
Net Income (100%)
Package profit after agency fees, debt service, and broker/boarding fees.
MOIC
Multiple on invested capital — net income to owner divided by capital invested (1.80×).
IRR (annualized)
Internal rate of return on the owner's actual monthly cash flows: capital out at purchase, net income distributions in each month. Portfolio 65%; shown per package.
UPB Sales
Cash proceeds realized from selling accounts to third parties (vs. collecting from consumers).
Remaining UPB & Residual
Face value not yet collected, marked at an illustrative $0.015 per $1 to estimate residual value still on the books. An assumption, not a third-party valuation.

Methodology & Notes

Confidential — for prospective investor discussion only. Prepared by 10 Cedar Lane. This document presents historical, realized results for a specific set of acquired receivable packages and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or interest. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Distressed-debt investing involves risk of loss, including loss of principal, and recovery rates vary by vintage, collateral, servicer, and jurisdiction. Figures are unaudited and subject to revision upon final reconciliation.