Realized track record across the founder's Bank of Orrick non-performing loan
packages — charged-off consumer receivables acquired at deep discount and resolved through
licensed servicing. Figures are actuals to date, not projections.
10 packages$52.2M face value (UPB) acquiredPeriod: Nov 2023 – Apr 2026Owner of record: BillyPrepared: May 27, 2026
Investment Highlights
Net Income to Owner
$616,357
Owner share of package net income, realized
Portfolio IRR
65%
Annualized, on owner cash flows to date
Capital Multiple (MOIC)
1.80×
Net income returned per $1 invested
Net Return on Capital
80%
Net profit ÷ capital, ~30 mo holding
Net Profit
$274,670
After full return of invested capital
Capital Invested
$341,687
Founder cash deployed across 10 packages
Face Value Acquired
$52.2M
Unpaid principal balance (UPB), bought at deep discount
Gross Receipts
$6.1M
Collections + sales proceeds, all packages
Remaining Portfolio Value — Illustrative
Beyond realized results, about $46.2M of face value (UPB) remains uncollected across the
active packages. Marked conservatively at $0.015 per $1 of remaining UPB, that residual is worth
roughly $693,219 at the package level — about $336,425 to the owner. Including this
illustrative residual, total value to the owner would be ~$952,782 on $341,687 of capital.
This 1.5¢ mark is an assumption for discussion, not a third-party valuation.
UPB Sales (Proceeds)
$226,402
Cash realized from selling accounts to date
Remaining UPB (Face)
$46.2M
Face value not yet collected
Remaining UPB Value @ $0.015
$693,219
Illustrative residual, 100% level
Owner Share of Residual
$336,425
Applying ownership %; ~98% of capital invested
Cumulative Net Income to Owner
Realized owner net income builds steadily as packages season and servicing recoveries
compound. Early months reflect upfront broker/boarding fees and debt-service ramp; the curve inflects
as the older packages reach peak liquidation.
Owner net income — running total
Ending: $616,357
Monthly Net Income to Owner
Owner net income by month
Peak month: $83,954
Package-Level Detail
All figures at 100% package level except the Owner columns and IRR, which reflect the
founder's ownership share. STR / Agency Fee is the licensed collection-agency fee on gross collections;
Seaport Payment is full debt service (principal, interest, and 1% admin) on the acquisition financing.
Rem. UPB is uncollected face value; Rem. Val marks it at $0.015/$1 (illustrative). IRR is annualized on
owner cash flows to date.
Package
Purchased
Own %
UPB
Purch. Price
Gross Coll.
UPB Sales
Gross Receipts
STR Fee
Seaport
Net Income
Liq %
Rem. UPB
Rem. Val @1.5¢
Owner Inv.
Owner NI
Owner P&L
IRR
Active
BankofOrrickPID22237 / NCS
11/17/23
33.3%
$6,456,340
$90,239
$820,174
$96,512
$913,518
$321,666 39.2%
$283,140
$308,983
14.1%
$5,636,166
$84,542
$30,050
$102,891
$72,842
158%
30 mo
BankofOrrickPID22307 / NCS
11/17/23
33.3%
$4,577,155
$63,974
$644,362
$21,614
$664,924
$254,709 39.5%
$214,867
$196,008
14.5%
$3,932,793
$58,992
$21,303
$65,271
$43,967
120%
30 mo
BankofOrrickPID22358 / NCS
12/15/23
33.3%
$4,959,238
$69,314
$667,212
$0
$628,440
$266,062 39.9%
$126,117
$237,444
12.7%
$4,292,026
$64,380
$23,082
$79,069
$55,987
147%
29 mo
BankofOrrickPID22420 / NCS
01/17/24
33.3%
$4,812,519
$67,264
$580,905
$39,001
$618,330
$228,238 39.3%
$219,714
$170,272
12.8%
$4,231,614
$63,474
$22,399
$56,701
$34,302
73%
28 mo
BankofOrrickPID22493 / NCS
02/28/24
33.3%
$4,459,733
$62,333
$561,449
$33,958
$595,407
$216,093 38.5%
$200,066
$179,012
13.4%
$3,898,284
$58,474
$20,757
$59,611
$38,854
107%
27 mo
BankofOrrickPID22576 / NCS
04/07/24
33.3%
$4,518,468
$63,154
$582,694
$35,317
$618,011
$229,042 39.3%
$203,899
$184,515
13.7%
$3,935,774
$59,037
$21,030
$61,443
$40,413
118%
26 mo
BankofOrrickPID22647 / NCS
05/03/24
33.3%
$4,929,741
$68,902
$454,808
$0
$454,808
$173,156 38.1%
$229,240
$52,596
9.2%
$4,474,933
$67,124
$22,944
$17,514
$-5,430
-16%
24 mo
BankofOrrickPID22787 / NCS / BRD
06/04/24
33.3%
$5,808,127
$81,179
$548,209
$0
$548,209
$197,645 36.1%
$269,048
$81,749
9.4%
$5,259,918
$78,899
$27,033
$27,222
$190
1%
23 mo
BankofOrrickPID22895 / NCS / MRT
10/31/24
100.0%
$6,037,969
$74,894
$593,032
$0
$593,032
$223,255 37.6%
$278,533
$92,254
9.8%
$5,444,937
$81,674
$74,894
$92,254
$17,360
22%
22 mo
BankofOrrickPID23146 / NCS
10/03/24
100.0%
$5,594,628
$78,195
$486,494
$0
$486,494
$173,621 35.7%
$259,723
$54,380
8.7%
$5,108,134
$76,622
$78,195
$54,380
$-23,815
-23%
19 mo
PORTFOLIO TOTAL
$52,153,918
$719,448
$5,939,339
$226,402
$6,121,173
$2,283,487 38.4%
$2,284,347
$1,557,213
11.7%
$46,214,579
$693,219
$341,687
$616,357
$274,670
65%
Forecast — Projected Lifetime Value to Owner (Illustrative)
Projection of cumulative net income to the owner through the end of portfolio life. Each
package's recent collections are decayed forward at their observed rate until they taper to near zero,
converted to owner net income at recent margins, and topped with the $0.015/$1 residual on remaining
uncollected UPB. The shaded band spans a conservative (low) to optimistic (high) case; the dashed line
is the base case. This is an illustrative model, not a forecast of actual results or a guarantee.
Cumulative net income to owner — actual & projected
Base terminal: $1,485,441
Actual to date Projected (base) Range (low–high)
Base case implies a lifetime owner multiple of about 4.3× on
$341,687 of capital ($1,069,002–$1,944,279 across the low–high band). Assumptions: terminal
liquidation ~13–19% of UPB, observed per-package collection decay (capped at 5–16%/month),
residual marked at $0.010–$0.020 per $1 of remaining UPB. Actual outcomes will differ; packages
remain active and recoveries are not guaranteed.
Forecast Highlights — as of May 2028 · base case; range = low–high
Net Income to Owner
$1,167,448
Projected cumulative; range $929,027–$1,332,595
Capital Multiple (MOIC)
3.4×
Range 2.7–3.9×
Net Profit
$825,762
After return of $341,687 capital
Net Return on Capital
242%
Range 172%–290%
Snapshot of the base-case projection at May 2028
(about 25 months past the latest actuals). Net income to owner includes the illustrative residual realized
by that date. Projected IRR is omitted here: on a cash-on-cash basis it computes very high (~100%+) because
capital is fully recovered early and timing-sensitive — available on request but excluded to avoid
overstating. Illustrative only; not a guarantee.
How to Read This — Key Terms
UPB (Unpaid Principal Balance)
Face value of the debt acquired. Packages were bought at a deep discount to face; the stated purchase price was $719,448, with the acquisition additionally financed and repaid through Seaport debt service.
STR / Agency Fee
Contingency fee paid to the licensed collection agency on gross collections (blended 38.4%).
Seaport Payment
Monthly debt service on the financing used to acquire the packages — principal, interest, and a 1% admin fee.
Liquidation Rate
Gross collections as a percent of UPB — how much of the face value has been recovered (11.7% blended).
Net Income (100%)
Package profit after agency fees, debt service, and broker/boarding fees.
MOIC
Multiple on invested capital — net income to owner divided by capital invested (1.80×).
IRR (annualized)
Internal rate of return on the owner's actual monthly cash flows: capital out at purchase, net income distributions in each month. Portfolio 65%; shown per package.
UPB Sales
Cash proceeds realized from selling accounts to third parties (vs. collecting from consumers).
Remaining UPB & Residual
Face value not yet collected, marked at an illustrative $0.015 per $1 to estimate residual value still on the books. An assumption, not a third-party valuation.
Methodology & Notes
Source: owner financial report derived from the servicer's P&L (PL Report DD), reconciled at the package level. Amounts in whole U.S. dollars unless noted.
All performance shown is realized to date over an approximately 30-month window (first purchase 11/17/2023). It is not a forecast and packages remain active.
Seaport debt service is reported as received (P&I plus 1% admin) and is not broken into components.
Two packages (PID22895, PID23146) are 100%-owned; the remaining eight are held at a 33.3% share. Owner columns reflect the applicable ownership.
IRR is annualized from a monthly internal rate of return solved on each package's owner cash flows (capital deployed at purchase; owner net income distributed monthly). Because capital is small relative to fast monthly recoveries and packages are still active, realized-to-date IRRs run high; two packages are currently negative and are shown as such.
Remaining UPB = face value purchased less gross collections, marked at $0.015 per $1 as an illustrative residual value — not an appraisal, offer, or third-party valuation. It is gross of accounts already resolved by sale (UPB Sales shown separately). Actual realizable value will differ.
The forecast is an illustrative model, not a guarantee. Per package, recent monthly collections are projected forward at their observed decay rate (bounded to 5–16%/month) until they taper below $250/month, capped at a lifetime liquidation of 13–19% of UPB; future collections convert to owner net income at recent margins; the $0.010–$0.020 residual is applied to remaining UPB near taper. Low/base/high vary decay speed, liquidation ceiling, and residual mark. Forward-looking figures are subject to significant uncertainty.
Minor month-vs-summary rounding differences exist in the underlying file; package-level summary totals are used as authoritative here.
Confidential — for prospective investor discussion only. Prepared by 10 Cedar Lane.
This document presents historical, realized results for a specific set of acquired receivable packages
and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or interest. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. Distressed-debt investing involves risk of loss,
including loss of principal, and recovery rates vary by vintage, collateral, servicer, and jurisdiction.
Figures are unaudited and subject to revision upon final reconciliation.